This article made the rounds a couple weeks ago in the news media, probably based on the conclusion from the abstract stating “efforts to systematically increase the duration of resuscitation could improve survival in this high-risk population.”
They base this statement off a retrospective review of prospectively gathered standardized data from in-hospital cardiac arrests. Comparing 31,000 patients with ROSC following an initial episode of cardiac arrest with a cohort of 33,000 who did not have ROSC – the authors found that patients who arrested at hospitals with higher median resuscitation times were more likely to have ROSC. Initial ROSC was tied to survival to discharge, where hospitals with the shortest median resuscitation time having a 14.5% adjusted survival compared to 16.2% at hospitals with the longest resuscitations.
Now, if you’re a glass half-full sort of person, “could improve survival” sounds like an endorsement. However, when we’re conjuring up hypotheses and associations from retrospective data, it’s important to re-read every instance of “could” and “might” as “could not” and “might not”. They also performed a horde of patient-related covariates, which gives some scope of the difficulty of weeding out a significant finding from the confounders. The most glaring difference in their baseline characteristics was the 6% absolute difference in witnessed arrest – which if not accounted for properly could nearly explain the entirety of their outcomes difference.
It’s also to consider the unintended consequences of their statement. What does it mean to continue resuscitation past the point it is judged clinically appropriate? What sort of potentially well-meaning policies might this entail? What are the harms to other patients in the facility if nursing and physician resources are increasingly tied up in (mostly) futile resuscitations? How much additional healthcare costs will result from additional successful ROSC – most of whom are still not neurologically intact survivors?
“Duration of resuscitation efforts and survival after in-hospital cardiac arrest: an observational study“
www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140…9/abstract