This is a neat study that followed up 23,854 patients from a multicenter CTCA registry – the CONFIRM registry – over three years to evaluate their long term prognostic risk. And – amazingly enough – the patients who had no coronary artery disease identified on their CTCA had an annualized rate of 0.28% of death from all causes. Which seems pretty impressive, and it’s better than the people who had non-obstructive and various types of obstructive CAD on their CTCA.
But then, the hazard ratios for patients who had 3-vessel and left main disease on their CTCA was still only as high as six times more likely than the no CAD cohort – which is a lot higher in relative terms, but still not very high in absolute terms – and there were a lot of other comorbidities in these patients that would contribute to their all-cause mortality from non-cardiac causes. So, yes, not having CAD – as well as being a generally healthy person – helps you live longer.
The question still remains where CTCA fits into an Emergency Department evaluation for chest pain. We are seeing more and more research now that primary PCI for asymptomatic lesions isn’t any survival benefit over medical management – so identifying these lesions and admitting these patients to cardiology for intervention isn’t going to be in our future. Considering over 55% of their cohort had either non-obstructive or obstructive disease found, now you’re going to be on the hook for making outpatient CAD risk-modification decisions after cardiology declines them.
Whether CTCA is used should be a standardized, institution-wide decision, because I don’t think anyone wants to take the weight of sorting through all this evidence and risk/benefit ratios as a lone wolf.
“Age- and Sex-Related Differences in All-Cause Mortality Risk Based on Coronary Computer Tomography Angiography Findings”
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21835321