Here Comes Copeptin

Are you interested in making your AMI diagnostic evaluation even less specific?  Good!  Because Brahms Thermo Fisher et al want to sell you a rapid copeptin assay to help with that.

Copeptin is a stable, terminal portion of the arginine vasopressin peptide.  This peptide is released from the pituitary in response to cardiovascular hemodynamic stress and has a theoretical role in the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction.  The advantage copeptin may have over conventional troponin assays is detectable release in circulation preceding troponin.

In 1971 patients collected through their multi-center trial, 156 were diagnosed with AMI (7.9%).  Upon presentation to the Emergency Department, 40 were STEMI.  281 patients had cTnI greater than 40ng/L, 97 of whom were subsequently diagnosed with nSTEMI.  1646 had cTnI less than 40ng/L, 19 of whom eventually were diagnosed with nSTEMI – a miss rate of 1.1%.  Pretty good – but, obviously, we practice in a zero-miss world.  Adding copeptin to this troponin-negative population with a cut-off of 14pmol/L decreased the miss rate to 0.5%.  The specificity, of course, was useless – only 10 of 493 patients with positive initial copeptin and negative inital troponin went on to receive a diagnosis of nSTEMI.

So, the question is – would a negative copeptin change your practice?  Is there a clinically important difference between a 1 in 100 miss rate vs. a 1 in 200 miss rate?  These authors think adding copeptin to troponin will allow you to discharge a patient after the inital biomarker result – but I think this minimal incremental improvement in diagnostic performance doesn’t change whatever pathway the patient was already on, nor add much to a discussion of shared decision-making with the patient.  They also don’t address a performance advantage compared to high-sensitivity troponin assays (which have, of course, their own issues).

These authors are pretty high on copeptin – but, then again, many of them are employed by or sponsored by the manufacturers of the copeptin assay.

“Copeptin Helps in the Early Detection Of Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction: the primary results of the CHOPIN Trial”
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23643595

Proto Magazine Letter

My recently-published short invited response in Proto Magazine, a Massachusetts General Hospital publication, to an article on the state of current medical journals:  “Probing Deeper

They did, however, unexpectedly edit out a portion of my response – an entire paragraph originally between the current 2nd and 3rd paragraphs:

In 2005-2006, The Lancet derived 41% of its revenue through sales of over 11 million reprints.[1]  The NEJM, which published more industry-funded studies thanThe Lancet – 78% vs. 58% – undoubtedly derives even more.[2]  Ironically, Jeffery Drazen, editor-in-chief of NEJM, is quoted as saying “Our most important job is vetting information.”  Dr. Drazen infamously failed to do so when privy to information regarding increased mortality in rofecoxib’s (Vioxx) VIGOR trial – a publication for which NEJM sold Merck 900,000 reprints.[3][4]

And, here are my references:

1.  Dorsey ER, George BP, Dayoub, EJ, Ravina BM.  Finances of the publishers of the most highly cited US medical journals.  J Med Libr Assoc. 2011 Jul;99(3):255-8.
2. Lundh A, Barbateskovic M, Hróbjartsson A, Gøtzsche PC.  Conflicts of interest at medical journals: the influence of industry-supported randomised trials on journal impact factors and revenue – cohort study.  PLoS Med. 2010 Oct;7(10):e1000354.
3.  Armstrong D.   Bitter pill: how the New England Journal missed warning signs on Vioxx.  Wall Street Journal 2006 May 15:A1.
4.  Smith R.  Lapses at the New England Journal of Medicine.  J R Soc Med. 2006 Aug;99(8):380-2. 

Questioning “Atypical Angina”

The prevailing notion has been that women present with symptoms of angina that are “atypical” from men – headaches, jaw pain, generalized malaise – rather than definitive anginal-type chest pain or pressure.  These authors would like to suggest this global characterization is incorrect.

These authors enrolled a sample of 128 men and 109 women who underwent coronary angiogram following an abnormal stress test.  Patients with obstructive coronary artery disease on their angiogram were surveyed regarding the symptoms that prompted them to seek care.  Of this cohort, 89 men had obstructive disease compared with 50 women.

Overall, there was no significant statistical difference in the rate of most descriptors used by men or women.  Surprisingly, women were statistically more likely to use “typical” terms such as “discomfort”, “crushing”, “pressing” and “aching” to describe their chest pain.  Therefore, these authors conclude the clinical construct of “atypical angina” in women is incorrect.

I would tend to agree – excepting their study suffers from selection bias.  If patients are only referred for testing due to suspected coronary artery disease, then the population with “atypical” symptoms might not be fully captured.  That being said, it does look as though the female population in their study encompassed a number of patients who potentially were referred for atypical symptoms, considering the yield of their coronary angiography was much lower in women.  It would have been interesting to compare the referral symptoms to the subset with demonstrated obstructive CAD.

Reconstructing Angina: Cardiac Symptoms Are the Same in Women and Men”
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23567974‎

Falling Short on Pneumonia Prediction

These authors address a real problem: which coughing adults have pneumonia?  Unfortunately, after evaluating 2,820 of them – they still don’t really know.


This is an interesting article because it pulls together a symptom profile along with two of the other non-specific inflammatory markers being touted as important diagnostic tools: CRP and procalcitonin.  Primary care physicians enrolled adults presenting with acute cough, and used plain radiography as their gold standard for diagnosis of pneumonia.


In short:

  • “Symptoms and signs” suggestive of pneumonia (fever, tachycardia, abnormal lung exam) all had positive OR between 2.0 and 5.3, and combined offered an AUC of 0.70.
  • Adding CRP as a continuous variable to symptoms and signs gave an OR of 1.2 and increased the AUC to 0.78.
  • Adding procalcitonin as a continuous variable to symptoms and signs gave an OR of 1.1 and increased the AUC to 0.72.

Using CRP as a dichotomous cut-off at 30 mg/L, in addition to the independent symptom predictors, gave them the discriminating ability to produce a low, intermediate and high risk group: 0.7%, 3.8%, and 18.2% chance of pneumonia.  A high-risk group where fewer than one in five have the disease?  The authors recommend consideration of empiric antibiotic therapy in this group, but I prefer their other recommendation to consider radiography as confirmation in this subset.  The remainder ought to be candidates for observation, as false positives and harms from additional testing are likely to outweigh true positives.


Again, refuting the terrible JAMA distortion, procalcitonin had no useful discriminatory diagnostic value.


“Use of serum C reactive protein and procalcitonin concentrations in addition to symptoms and signs to predict pneumonia in patients presenting to primary care with acute cough: diagnostic study”

Azithromycin & Cardiovascular Risk, Belabored

Last year, I noted a study concerning a report of excess deaths associated with azithromycin use.  This study, a retrospective, observational cohort from Tennessee Medicaid data suggested a death rate double that of other antibiotics.  This led to the FDA issuing a warning regarding azithromycin use.


I thought all this fuss was absurd – the data quality was one step above junk and the absolute magnitude of the proposed harms was trivial.


Now, we have the counterpoint – a retrospective, observational cohort from Denmark, using their national health system database to compare prescriptions for azithromycin to penicillin V over the last 13 years.  In their cohort, there’s an obvious increase in risk of death from cardiovascular causes simply from being prescribed any antibiotics – but no difference between azithromycin and penicillin V.  This seems to indicate either the systemic infectious process contributes to excess cardiovascular risk, or that respiratory symptoms are being misdiagnosed as infectious rather than cardiovascular.  The absolute effect in their propensity matched cohorts is also tiny – a handful of patients or fewer spread across a million prescription events.


The accompanying opinion seems to attempt to justify the FDA review based on the wide confidence intervals in the Danish study – the OR for death from cardiovascular causes vs. penicillin V is 1.06 (0.54 – 2.10) and doesn’t statistically contradict the Tennessee study.  However, yet again, I would point to the reason behind the wide confidence intervals – the nearly trivial absolute magnitude of the harms, which amount to fractions of a patient per 1000 patient-years.

Again, plenty of reasons to responsibly reduce azithromycin prescriptions – but this cardiovascular hullabaloo probably isn’t one of them.


“Use of Azithromycin and Death from Cardiovascular Causes”
http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1300799

Levamisole-Induced Vasculitis

Let the good times roll – unless, of course, those good times are cut with levamisole.

This short case report from my good friends across the street at Baylor showcases a couple lovely pictures of the purpuric and necrotizing skin lesions associated with the anti-helminth levamisole – which, for some reason, is an increasingly popular additive to cocaine.  They are quite distressing and usually present following several courses of failed outpatient antibiotics.


I don’t think I specifically ever saw the exact patient these authors report upon, but it’s not a unique presentation in our county healthcare system.  This article is open-access for all to view without an institutional subscription.


Levamisole-adulterated Cocaine Induced Vasculitis with Skin Ulcerations”

http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/4rd630zt



Bonus link nomination for best article title ever: